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A Prediction of Vehicle Possession in Hunan Province Based on Principal Component and BP Neural Network

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成果类型:
期刊论文、会议论文
作者:
Li, Yin*;Zhou, Xin-shao;Chao-kui;Tian, Ya-ping
通讯作者:
Li, Yin
作者机构:
[Zhou, Xin-shao; Chao-kui; Li, Yin] Hunan Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Geospatial Informat Sci, Xiangtan 411201, Peoples R China.
[Zhou, Xin-shao] Hunan City Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Yiyang 413000, Peoples R China.
[Tian, Ya-ping] Hengyang Normal Univ, Dept Resources Environm & Tourism Management, Hengyang 421008, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Li, Yin] H
Hunan Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Geospatial Informat Sci, Xiangtan 411201, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
BP Neural Network (BPNN);Prediction;Principal Component Analysis (PCA);Vehicle Possession
期刊:
Advanced Materials Research
ISSN:
1022-6680
年:
2012
卷:
403-408
页码:
1337-1341
会议名称:
7th International Conference on MEMS, NANO and Smart Systems (ICMENS 2011)
会议论文集名称:
Advanced Materials Research
会议时间:
NOV 04-06, 2011
会议地点:
Kuala Lumpur, MALAYSIA
会议主办单位:
[Li, Yin;Zhou, Xin-shao;Chao-kui] Hunan Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Geospatial Informat Sci, Xiangtan 411201, Peoples R China.^[Zhou, Xin-shao] Hunan City Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Yiyang 413000, Peoples R China.^[Tian, Ya-ping] Hengyang Normal Univ, Dept Resources Environm & Tourism Management, Hengyang 421008, Peoples R China.
会议赞助商:
Int Assoc Comp Sci & Informat Technol, Singapore Inst Elect
主编:
Yuan, L
出版地:
KREUZSTRASSE 10, 8635 DURNTEN-ZURICH, SWITZERLAND
出版者:
TRANS TECH PUBLICATIONS LTD
ISBN:
978-3-03785-312-2
基金类别:
Graduate Innovation Foundation; Hunan University of Science and Technology, China [S100130]
机构署名:
本校为其他机构
院系归属:
地理与旅游学院
摘要:
Prediction of car ownership has direct reference significance for the development of urban transportation and construction of urban roads. By analyzing the impact factors of urban auto possession, this paper first analyzes 8 indicators such as urban population, GDP, road passenger traffic and so on determined by some references, then establish BP neural network model to predict the vehicles possession in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2008. The figures of prediction is 989,300, 1,221,800 and 1,370,300 respectively in 2006, 2007 and 2008, which is very close to the real ownership of 946,400,1,217,...

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