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SQEIR: An epidemic virus spread analysis and prediction model

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Wu, Yichun;Sun, Yaqi;Lin, Mugang
通讯作者:
Sun, Yaqi(happysyq@hynu.edu.cn)
作者机构:
[Sun, Yaqi; Wu, Yichun; Lin, Mugang] Hengyang Normal Univ, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Hengyang 421002, Peoples R China.
[Sun, Yaqi; Lin, Mugang] Hunan Prov Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc & Ap, Hengyang 421002, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Yaqi Sun] C
College of Computer Science and Technology, Hengyang Normal University, Hengyang, 421002, China<&wdkj&>Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Information Processing and Application, Hengyang, 421002, China
语种:
英文
关键词:
Susceptible quarantined exposed infective;Infectious disease model;Mathematical model;COVID-19
期刊:
Computers & Electrical Engineering
ISSN:
0045-7906
年:
2022
卷:
102
页码:
108230
基金类别:
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61772179), Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (2022JJ50016, 2020JJ4152), the Science and Technology Innovation Program of Hunan Province (2016TP1020), Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department (21B0649), Double First-Class University Project of Hunan Province (Xiangjiaotong [2018]469), Postgraduate Scientific Research Innovation Project of Hunan Province (CX20190998), Degree and Postgraduate Education Reform Project of Hunan Province (2019JGYB266, 2020JGZD072), Industry University Research Innovation Foundation of Ministry of Education Science and Technology Development Center (2020QT09), Hengyang Technology Innovation Guidance Projects (2020h052805, Hengcaijiaozhi [2020]-67), Postgraduate Teaching Platform Project of Hunan Province (Xiangjiaotong [2019]370-321).
机构署名:
本校为第一机构
院系归属:
计算机科学与技术学院
摘要:
In 2019, a new strain of coronavirus pneumonia spread quickly worldwide. Viral propagation may be simulated using the Susceptible Infectious Removed (SIR) model. However, the SIR model fails to consider that separation of patients in the COVID-19 incubation stage entails difficulty and that these patients have high transmission potential. The model also ignores the positive effect of quarantine measures on the spread of the epidemic. To address the two flaws in the SIR model, this study proposes a new infectious disease model referred to as the...

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